Politics
Tinubu scores narrow win over Obi in Oxford-Metro poll ahead 2027 Presidential election

By Chidera Orji
In a first poll ahead of the 2027 presidential election, President Bola Tinubu has taken a slim lead over Nigeria Democratic Cingress (NDC) candidate, Peter Obi, in the latest Oxford–Metro Analytics National Trust Poll, beating him by 1,067 responses.
The online poll, which ended on September 7, had 69,110 approved and unflagged responses in its final dataset.
Tinubu attracted 24,469 responses, representing 35.41 per cent of the total, while Obi secured 23,402 responses, or 33.86 per cent.
Former Vice-President and African Democratic Congress (ADC) candidate, Atiku Abubakar occupied the third position with 18,430 responses, accounting for 26.67 per cent of the total participation.
The figures put Tinubu 1,067 responses ahead of Obi, equivalent to a margin of about 1.54 percentage points.
READ ALSO:Titi Abubakar : People suffering under Tinubu, says Nigerians will ask for Atiku’s second term
The geographical spread of the poll also pointed to notable shifts from the voting pattern recorded during the 2023 presidential election.
Tinubu, who carried 12 states in the 2023 election, emerged as the leading candidate in 20 states and the Federal Capital Territory in the online poll.
Obi and Atiku, meanwhile, recorded the highest number of responses in eight states each.
The poll indicated particularly strong changes in several northern states, with Tinubu gaining the lead in areas where he did not win the presidential vote in 2023.
He led in Kaduna, Katsina and Gombe, all of which were won by Atiku in the 2023 presidential election.
Tinubu also topped the poll in Kano, where the New Nigeria Peoples Party candidate, Rabiu Kwankwaso, won the presidential election in 2023.
At the geopolitical-zone level, Tinubu emerged ahead in the South-West, North-West and North-Central.
Obi recorded his strongest showing in the South-East and South-South, while Atiku dominated the North-East.
In the South-West, Tinubu polled 10,968 responses, representing 43.53 per cent of participation in the zone.
He also led in the North-West with 4,129 responses, accounting for 43.10 per cent of the region’s total.
In the North-Central, the President garnered 6,370 responses, representing 36.97 per cent of the votes recorded in the zone.
Obi’s strongest regional performance came from the South-East, where he secured 5,796 responses, representing 63.97 per cent of the total.
The Labour Party candidate also led in the South-South with 2,389 responses, accounting for 41.48 per cent of participation in the region.
Atiku’s strongest showing was in the North-East, where he received 1,235 responses, representing 55.46 per cent of the region’s total.
Despite Tinubu’s wider spread across the country, the poll showed a closely fought contest between the three leading candidates.
The 1,067-response gap separating Tinubu and Obi reflected the narrow difference between the two front-runners at the national level.
Some state-level results were even tighter, particularly where participation was relatively low.
In Kogi, for example, Tinubu recorded 39 responses, compared with 38 for Atiku and 33 for Obi, out of just 110 responses.
The one-response gap between Tinubu and Atiku in Kogi highlights the need for caution in interpreting results from states with small numbers of participants.
In the Federal Capital Territory, Tinubu polled 5,599 responses against Obi’s 5,278, giving the President an advantage of 321 responses. Atiku recorded 3,954 responses.
Rivers also produced a relatively close contest, with Tinubu receiving 975 responses, Obi 892 and Atiku 568, leaving an 83-response gap between the first and second candidates.
Among the other contenders, Omoyele Sowore received 1,016 responses, followed by Seyi Makinde with 519 and former President Goodluck Jonathan with 284.
Anita Zugwai-Chukwu polled 18 responses, Sandy Onor recorded six, while Prince Kennedy Ahanotu received two responses.
A total of 638 participants selected “I Do Not Trust Any Candidate Yet,” while 204 respondents were undecided and 122 chose “Other Candidate.”
The distribution of responses showed that a national lead did not necessarily correspond with dominance across all geopolitical zones or states.
While Tinubu led nationally and in three geopolitical zones, Obi maintained a commanding position in the South-East and recorded the highest number of responses in the South-South. Atiku, meanwhile, remained strongest in the North-East.
The poll’s participation was also unevenly distributed, with Lagos and the FCT alone accounting for 54.44 per cent of all responses.
The final dataset included 56 responses from Nigerians in the diaspora, but these were excluded from the six domestic geopolitical-zone tallies.
(VANGUARD)
Politics
Independence: Gov. Mutfwang grants pardon to 130 inmates, commutes 4 death sentences to life imprisonment
From Rhoda Namsak (Jos)
As part of activities marking Nigeria’s 66th Independent Anniversary, Plateau state governor, Caleb Mutfwang, has granted pardon to 130 inmates across custodial facilities in the state.
The governor also commuted four death sentences to life imprisonment.
The governor who announced the exercise of his prerogative of mercy during his goodwill message to the people of the state on Thursday as part of activities marking Nigeria’s 66th Independence Anniversary, said the decision followed due consultation with the State Advisory Council on the Prerogative of Mercy.
According to a statement from the Plateau state government house, “In exercising the powers conferred upon him by the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, as amended, Governor Mutfwang after due consultation with the State Advisory Council on the Prerogative of Mercy, has granted absolute pardon to 130 inmates, while four inmates serving death sentence had their sentences reduced to life imprisonment.’
The governor explained that the Independence anniversary provided an opportunity for Nigerians to reflect on the nation’s journey and honour the sacrifices of past leaders.
He said it was also a time to “acknowledge the challenges confronting the nation, celebrate its achievements and renew their collective faith in the promise of a stronger, united and prosperous Nigeria.”
Mutfwang urged Nigerians to honour the legacy of the nation’s founding fathers by preserving the unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country.
According to him, “the responsibility of nation-building has passed from one generation to another and every citizen has a role to play in building a peaceful, stable and prosperous country.”
“Nigeria’s strength lies in the collective determination of its citizens to rise above differences and build a nation in which every citizen has a sense of belonging and an opportunity to fulfil his or her aspirations.”
He also acknowledged the efforts of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in sustaining the unity and stability of the country and advancing the Nigerian project.
The governor, who acknowledged the efforts of president Bola Tinubu in addressing Nigeria’s challenges, urged the people of the state to “keep faith in the Nigerian project despite the challenges confronting the nation”.
Politics
Independent anniversary: APC hails Tinubu’s reforms, says administration resolute in tackling major national questions
By Tony Chuddy
The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), has hailed the reforms introduced by the President Bola Tinubu led administration, saying it has reshaped the country since the last three years
The ruling party in a statement issued by it’s National Publicity Secretary, Felix Morka to mark the nation’s 66 independent anniversary, said Nigeria’s democratic evolution has been one forged by the courage of our founding fathers, and nourished by the selfless sacrifices of heroes of our democracy.
“Today, the APC pays glowing tribute to the martyrs, patriots, and pro-democracy icons whose sweat and blood laid the unshakeable foundation of our enduring democracy. In particular, we celebrate the contributions and sacrifices of late Chief Moshood Kashimawo Olawale (MKO) Abiola, GCFR in his dogged June 12, 1993 and stoic defence of the presidential mandate freely given by the Nigerian electorate.
”In honour of the legacy of MKO Abiola and our democratic forebears, the APC-led administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, GCFR, has been unyielding in its commitment to expanding democratic freedoms and delivering economic prosperity to Nigerians. Over the past three years, the Tinubu administration has taken bold and unprecedented policy action to reset the structural foundations of our national economy. While these economic reforms, including the fuel subsidy removal and foreign exchange harmonisation, triggered transient economic pains. The sacrificial pain endured by Nigerians now ushers a Nigeria on the cusp of democratic consolidation and economic prosperity never before seen in history.”
The party emphasised that the realigned monetary and fiscal policies have stabilized the Naira, reduced inflation, boosted the country’s foreign reserves, and driven enhanced revenues across federal and sub-national governments. Through strategic revamping of surveillance capabilities, Nigeria has vastly improved its crude oil output. It’s increased support for domestic refining, has yielded major milestones in refining domestic premium motor spirit (PMS) and establishing the country’s position as a major exporter of refined petroleum products.
It added that the Tinubu-administration has been resolute in tackling major national questions — instituted financial autonomy for Local Governments geared to deliver resources directly to the grassroots; extending youth empowerment and social investment initiatives, including the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND), the Consumer Credit Scheme (CREDICORP), cash transfer to over 15 million indigent citizens and more, opening doors of opportunity for young people, low income households, entrepreneurs, and innovators across the country.
“Our great Party acknowledges the perseverance, understanding, and patriotism of the Nigerian people throughout this period of national economic reengineering. True independence goes beyond the hoisting of a flag, but by building a strong, united and self-reliant nation, securing its borders, and securing the future of unborn generations. This remains the abiding commitment of our great Party and administration.
“As we celebrate this important milestone, the APC enjoins all citizens, sub-national leaders, political stakeholders, traditional rulers and leaders of faith to join hands in building the Nigeria of our collective dream. The dawn of a prosperous Nigeria is nigh,” APC stated
Politics
Nigeria@66: Over 140m citizens living in abject poverty – Obi
By Tony Chuddy
Former governor of Anambra state, and presidential candidate of the opposition Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peter Obi, has alleged that more than 140 millions Nigerians are currently living in abject poverty
Oni in his Nigeria’s 66th independent anniversary statement issued on Thursday, said persistent leadership failures have pushed over majority of the Nigerian population into severe hardship and abject poverty.
The NDC presidential candidate stated further that while October 1 should naturally serve as a moment of thanksgiving, unity, and gratitude for the country’s vast human and agricultural potential, the occasion must not be reduced to mere ceremonial festivities, describing the anniversary as a crucial moment for deep, honest national reflection.
“Independence anniversaries must never be reduced to mere celebration. They are moments for honest national reflection. We must look back, examine where we stand today, and ask ourselves whether we are moving in the direction our founding fathers envisioned,” Obi stated.
He added that out-of-school children have surged past 18 million, alongside an estimated 35 million unemployed or underemployed youths, adding that bad governance induced frustration has led several youths into drug abuse
He regretted that the abuse of drug among Nigerian youth has reached 14%, more than double the global benchmark of 6%, adding that high infant and maternal mortality rates persist, while national life expectancy stands at 54 years—significantly trailing the global average of 74 years.
Obi noted that escalating terrorism, banditry, and mass abductions continue to jeopardize lives, citing a recent incident where 37 young Nigerians lost their lives.
Recalling his recent two-day joint visit to Sokoto State alongside Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso, Obi detailed the harrowing conditions they witnessed at the Ramin Kura Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camp near Sokoto metropolis.
“What we saw in Ramin Kura is not an isolated story; it is a reflection of the suffering experienced across many parts of Nigeria. While ordinary Nigerians struggle with these realities, this present government often behaves as though these problems belong to another country. Political leaders have failed our country and, most importantly, we have failed our children.
“The Nigeria we desire will not be built by prayers alone, nor by promises alone.
“It will be built by leadership that understands that public office is a sacred trust, by citizens who demand accountability, and by all of us who refuse to accept failure as our destiny.” Obi noted
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