Politics
Tinubu scores narrow win over Obi in Oxford-Metro poll ahead 2027 Presidential election

By Chidera Orji
In a first poll ahead of the 2027 presidential election, President Bola Tinubu has taken a slim lead over Nigeria Democratic Cingress (NDC) candidate, Peter Obi, in the latest Oxford–Metro Analytics National Trust Poll, beating him by 1,067 responses.
The online poll, which ended on September 7, had 69,110 approved and unflagged responses in its final dataset.
Tinubu attracted 24,469 responses, representing 35.41 per cent of the total, while Obi secured 23,402 responses, or 33.86 per cent.
Former Vice-President and African Democratic Congress (ADC) candidate, Atiku Abubakar occupied the third position with 18,430 responses, accounting for 26.67 per cent of the total participation.
The figures put Tinubu 1,067 responses ahead of Obi, equivalent to a margin of about 1.54 percentage points.
READ ALSO:Titi Abubakar : People suffering under Tinubu, says Nigerians will ask for Atiku’s second term
The geographical spread of the poll also pointed to notable shifts from the voting pattern recorded during the 2023 presidential election.
Tinubu, who carried 12 states in the 2023 election, emerged as the leading candidate in 20 states and the Federal Capital Territory in the online poll.
Obi and Atiku, meanwhile, recorded the highest number of responses in eight states each.
The poll indicated particularly strong changes in several northern states, with Tinubu gaining the lead in areas where he did not win the presidential vote in 2023.
He led in Kaduna, Katsina and Gombe, all of which were won by Atiku in the 2023 presidential election.
Tinubu also topped the poll in Kano, where the New Nigeria Peoples Party candidate, Rabiu Kwankwaso, won the presidential election in 2023.
At the geopolitical-zone level, Tinubu emerged ahead in the South-West, North-West and North-Central.
Obi recorded his strongest showing in the South-East and South-South, while Atiku dominated the North-East.
In the South-West, Tinubu polled 10,968 responses, representing 43.53 per cent of participation in the zone.
He also led in the North-West with 4,129 responses, accounting for 43.10 per cent of the region’s total.
In the North-Central, the President garnered 6,370 responses, representing 36.97 per cent of the votes recorded in the zone.
Obi’s strongest regional performance came from the South-East, where he secured 5,796 responses, representing 63.97 per cent of the total.
The Labour Party candidate also led in the South-South with 2,389 responses, accounting for 41.48 per cent of participation in the region.
Atiku’s strongest showing was in the North-East, where he received 1,235 responses, representing 55.46 per cent of the region’s total.
Despite Tinubu’s wider spread across the country, the poll showed a closely fought contest between the three leading candidates.
The 1,067-response gap separating Tinubu and Obi reflected the narrow difference between the two front-runners at the national level.
Some state-level results were even tighter, particularly where participation was relatively low.
In Kogi, for example, Tinubu recorded 39 responses, compared with 38 for Atiku and 33 for Obi, out of just 110 responses.
The one-response gap between Tinubu and Atiku in Kogi highlights the need for caution in interpreting results from states with small numbers of participants.
In the Federal Capital Territory, Tinubu polled 5,599 responses against Obi’s 5,278, giving the President an advantage of 321 responses. Atiku recorded 3,954 responses.
Rivers also produced a relatively close contest, with Tinubu receiving 975 responses, Obi 892 and Atiku 568, leaving an 83-response gap between the first and second candidates.
Among the other contenders, Omoyele Sowore received 1,016 responses, followed by Seyi Makinde with 519 and former President Goodluck Jonathan with 284.
Anita Zugwai-Chukwu polled 18 responses, Sandy Onor recorded six, while Prince Kennedy Ahanotu received two responses.
A total of 638 participants selected “I Do Not Trust Any Candidate Yet,” while 204 respondents were undecided and 122 chose “Other Candidate.”
The distribution of responses showed that a national lead did not necessarily correspond with dominance across all geopolitical zones or states.
While Tinubu led nationally and in three geopolitical zones, Obi maintained a commanding position in the South-East and recorded the highest number of responses in the South-South. Atiku, meanwhile, remained strongest in the North-East.
The poll’s participation was also unevenly distributed, with Lagos and the FCT alone accounting for 54.44 per cent of all responses.
The final dataset included 56 responses from Nigerians in the diaspora, but these were excluded from the six domestic geopolitical-zone tallies.
(VANGUARD)
General News
Hassan Umar wins APC ticket for Zamfara constituency with 9,416 votes

By Prosper Okoye
Hassan Umar Dangaladima has won the All Progressives Congress (APC) primary for Kaura Namoda and Birnin Magaji federal constituency in Zamfara State, securing 9,416 votes in an exercise preceded by security concerns and attacks on party members.
His opponent, Aminu Sani Jaji, polled 661 votes, according to the result announced by the party’s electoral committee.
The declaration was made by Mustapha Muhammed, acting chairman of the APC electoral committee from the party’s national headquarters, who served as the returning officer.
Muhammed said Umar met the party’s constitutional requirements and electoral guidelines, formally declaring him the winner of the primary.
The election took place against a backdrop of security concerns following attacks by suspected political thugs that reportedly left several APC members injured and vehicles damaged.
Security agencies subsequently intervened to restore order, allowing the voting exercise to continue.
Speaking to journalists after his victory, Umar thanked party members and constituents for their support, while acknowledging the role of security personnel and electoral officials in conducting the exercise.
He also called for reconciliation among party stakeholders, extending an olive branch to Jaji and urging supporters of both camps to unite ahead of the 2027 general elections.
Umar said unity within the party would be crucial to its prospects in the next general election.
General News
INEC flags staff in 10 states over AI voter photos

By Our Reporter
The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has removed artificial intelligence-generated photographs uploaded to the national voters’ register and flagged officials implicated in the practice across 10 states for disciplinary action.
INEC National Commissioner, Mohammed Haruna, disclosed this on Wednesday during a webinar organised by the PUNCH Media Foundation, titled ‘AI, Misinformation and Nigeria’s 2027 Elections: Safeguarding the Truth, Protecting the Vote’.

Haruna, who is also Chairman of the commission’s Information and Voter Education Committee, described the development as a major challenge, noting that the commission had already taken down AI-generated photographs identified on the voters’ register.
He, however, acknowledged that INEC faced limitations in preventing members of the public from manipulating or enhancing their photographs before uploading them during voter registration.
The commissioner said the commission had also identified cases involving its own personnel and was taking steps to address the violations.
“We have already seen one of the challenges, which is that a lot of AI-generated photographs were posted onto the voters’ register, which, as we have said, we have had to take down,” he said.
Haruna explained that while it might be difficult for the commission to prevent members of the public from manipulating their photographs before submission, it had greater control over violations involving its officials.
“But the ones involving our own staff, where it is our own staff that did so, that one is within our control. We are in the process of addressing it. They have been flagged,” he said.
He disclosed that the commission had obtained the names of the officials involved across about 10 states, adding that they would face disciplinary action.
“We have their names across about 10 states, and obviously, they are going to face disciplinary action,” he added.
On INEC’s preparedness to regulate the use of artificial intelligence in the electoral process ahead of the 2027 general elections, Haruna said the commission had developed an AI policy but was working to finalise it.
He noted that the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence had created regulatory challenges for countries across the world, including advanced democracies.
According to him, the evolving nature of the technology has made it difficult for governments to establish comprehensive and specific regulatory frameworks.
“As you know very well, it is new territory out there. Even the most advanced countries don’t have what you might call concrete, specific policies about AI because these things are evolving,” he said.
Haruna, however, said INEC had developed ideas on how it intended to deploy and regulate the technology, assuring that the policy would soon be finalised and made available to the media.
“But we have at least some ideas of what we want to do and how we want to use that. We have that policy. Very soon, we will concretise it, and we will be able to share it with the media,” he said.
General News
Yunusa Tanko dumps Peter Obi, Obidient Movement, appointed SDP presidential campaign coordinator

Yunusa Tanko
By Our Reporter
The Social Democratic Party (SDP) has appointed Yunusa Tanko, former coordinator of the Obidient Movement, as national coordinator of its presidential campaign council for the 2027 elections.
The SDP unveiled Tanko as its national presidential coordinator on Wednesday during the inauguration of the party’s campaign council in Abuja.
Mark Adebayo, chief media and communication advisor of the Adebayo/Bugaje presidential campaign council, also confirmed Tanko’s appointment to TheCable.
Speaking at the event, Tanko pledged to work with Adewale Adebayo, the SDP presidential candidate, and Usman Bugaje, his running mate, to secure victory in the 2027 elections.
“The SDP is a left-wing political party. For those of you who do not know, we represent the interests of the downtrodden. The SDP represents those people that you neglect on the streets. So, that makes this particular party people-oriented,” he said.
Tanko said he resigned as political adviser (north) to Peter Obi, presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), on October 30.
He said his resignation followed his appointment to the leadership of the National Consultative Front (NCFront) after the death of Ghali Na’Abba, the group’s former co-chairman and ex-speaker of the House of Representatives.
Tanko said he had reached out to Obi and Seriake Dickson, national leader of the NDC, whom he commended for their support when he served as coordinator of the Obidient Movement.
He pledged to work with the NCFront leadership and Adebayo, saying his relationship with Adebayo dates back to 2023, and added that they share a commitment to building a better Nigeria.
“In advancing our political mission to a new Nigeria that works for all, I pledge to remain consistent and committed to our unwavering belief in good governance, justice, equity, national loyalty and dedication and unwavering commitment to new Nigeria from where it is to a better and prosperous Nigeria,” he said.
Obi appointed Tanko as national coordinator of the Obidient Movement in September 2024, following a consensus to zone the position to the north.
Tanko served as Obi’s presidential campaign spokesman during the 2023 elections when the former Anambra governor contested under the Labour Party (LP) platform.
Tanko was the Northern People’s Congress (NPC) presidential candidate in 2019 and the party’s national chairman in 2023.
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